For example,
Observation: Your flashlight doesn’t work
Question: Why doesn’t your flashlight work?
Hypothesis 1: The batteries are dead
Hypothesis 2: The bulb is burnt out
Both these hypotheses are testable
Slide 101
Fig. 1-24
Observations
Question
Hypothesis #1:
Dead batteries
Hypothesis #2:
Burnt-out bulb
Prediction:
Replacing batteries
will fix problem
Prediction:
Replacing bulb
will fix problem
Test prediction
Test prediction
Test falsifies hypothesis
Test does not falsify hypothesis
Slide 102
Fig. 1-24a
Observations
Question
Hypothesis #1:
Dead batteries
Hypothesis #2:
Burnt-out bulb
Slide 103
Fig. 1-24b
Test prediction
Hypothesis #1:
Dead batteries
Hypothesis #2:
Burnt-out bulb
Test prediction
Prediction:
Replacing batteries
will fix problem
Prediction:
Replacing bulb
will fix problem
Test falsifies hypothesis
Test does not falsify hypothesis
Slide 104
Deduction: The “If…Then” Logic of Hypothesis Based Science
Deductive reasoning uses general premises to make specific predictions
For example, if organisms are made of cells (premise 1), and humans are organisms (premise 2), then humans are composed of cells (deductive prediction)
Slide 105
A Closer Look at Hypotheses in Scientific Inquiry
A hypothesis must be testable and falsifiable
Hypothesis-based science often makes use of two or more alternative hypotheses
Failure to falsify a hypothesis does not prove that hypothesis
For example, you replace your flashlight bulb, and it now works; this supports the hypothesis that your bulb was burnt out, but does not prove it (perhaps the first bulb was inserted incorrectly)
Slide 106
The Myth of the Scientific Method
The scientific method is an idealized process of inquiry
Hypothesis-based science is based on the “textbook” scientific method but rarely follows all the ordered steps
Discovery science has made important contributions with very little dependence on the so-called scientific method
Slide 107
Many poisonous species are brightly colored, which warns potential predators
Mimics are harmless species that closely resemble poisonous species